The latest computer guidance and models seem to be coming into agreement for a sizable storm for central and southeastern Virginia this weekend. The NWS forecast for the weekend storm is (Richmond Metro):
Friday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Christmas Day: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday Night: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
The latest 12z GFS is sowing the formation of a costal storm during the day on Saturday:
Stay tuned for further updates.
Update: 12/24/2010
The models have come into general agreement that this storm will take a more easterly path and not create a massive snow storm for central Virginia. Instead, a smaller upper level disturbance from the Midwest will likely swing through tomorrow afternoon (12/25) and tomorrow night to produce some snow showers. Local meteorologists are estimating anywhere from a dusting to an inch. The track of this storm is still uncertain, so it will still bear some watching today and tomorrow. Observation posts will be posted tomorrow if snow looks likely.